Text Mining Trump Speeches Part 3: Topic Modeling, Trump fixated on Hillary
BlogPolitics|text analyticsposted by Edward Kwartler October 26, 2016 Edward Kwartler
Editor’s note: Opinions expressed in this post do not necessarily reflect the views of #ODSC
In this blog post, I revisit the original 10 speeches from Donald Trump. If you missed the background check out the first and second posts. Within those posts, you can download the speech files and follow along yourself.
In this post, I am going to make an interactive visual based on a topic model. Topic modeling is a method to observe word frequencies and fit a model to a predefined number of topics. A document or in our case a speech is a mixture of topics. While the results are a bit messy, in practice topic modeling is good for tagging documents in an archive and for generally understanding what a document is about without actually reading it.
I am going to make d3 graphic from the
LDAvis package. The d3 graphic will let you interact with your topics and explore how different each is. Of course, there are other compelling visuals that can be made with a topic model output but I hope this gets you started when doing it yourself.
No matter your party affiliation I hope you find the text mining approaches in the series to be informative. I wouldn’t draw too many conclusions from this small sample set…I mean to only educate on some cool uses of R!
What is topic modeling?
Topic modeling finds word clusters within documents based on probability. In contrast to document classification or supervised learning, you did not have to explicitly define document classes like “spam” versus “not spam”. Instead “K” topics are identified as the algorithm observes word frequency distributions among all the documents. After the topics are identified each document is given a probability for being part of a particular topic. When I do topic modeling I find that most often a document is a varied mixture of topics. For example, a speech may end up being 20% about the economy, 20% about security and 60% attacking the other candidate.
Here is a fairly “non-mathy” explanation. Suppose this is a corpus of single sentence documents.[table id=15 /]
In this example, we may have 2 topics which are a mix of word probabilities.
- Topic A: 30% baseball, 20% football, 15% watched, 10% TV…
- Topic B: 40% software, 10% open, 10% source, 10% analytics…
When reviewing the topic model terms you have to add your own expertise to make sense of the topic’s general meaning. So for this example
- Topic A: something to do with sports and also watching TV
- Topic B: something to do with open source analytics software
In this example, it is easy to see the topic mixture once I apply my general understanding of the topic.[table id=16 /]
Notice how the last document is a mixture? Document 5 mentions one of the sports, “baseball”, but not the “basketball” and no “TV”. So the document is not completely topic A. Also document 5 mentions “analytics” and “R” but not “open source”. Thus this document is a mixture of both A and B.
Your first topic model with Donald Trump speeches
Jumping in let’s load the libraries needed for topic modeling. There are multiple packages devoted to the subject. This blog post uses
LDAvis. LDA stands for Latent Dirichlet Allocation. This is the method I described above observing word frequencies and then assigning probabilities for the topics to the documents. If you want a very technical but robust explanation check out David Blei’s Princeton paper here. The
LDAvis package is great for making an interactive and compelling topic model visualization. In terms of the text mining project workflow most often I use
tm for preprocessing functions rather than regular expressions. The remaining
rvest are used for data manipulation.
Similar to the previous blog post I load all candidate speeches using a custom function called
speech.read. Assuming all candidate closed caption files are in the same working directory this function will read and organize the speeches. In the code below I specify a candidate string to search the folder for. Then a list of speeches is created using
pblapply. I like
fread because it is faster than
read.csv especially if you are dealing with a lot of text data. Lastly, the function assigns the file names to each list element.
In this example, the end result is a list of 10 elements. Each element is an individual speech data frame with the seconds the words were said and the words themselves. Below I am pasting in the string “Trump” to create the list object
For this analysis, I do not need the “start” column containing seconds. One way to extract each list element’s “word” column is with
pluck. I like it because it is a simple way to extract list elements by name. The code below uses
pluck to create
all.trump object is a list of 10 individual speeches. Applying other functions over list elements requires
pblapply. Each of the following preprocessing steps is within
pblapply so I can see the progress being made but either works. The text needs to be collapsed from a vector to a character string so
collapse are used in tandem. Next, any contractions like “I’m” are changed to “I am” with
replace_contraction. This aides in stop word removal and term aggregation. Next, the base R function
tolower is applied to the 10 speeches. Lastly
removePunctuation is used.
all.trump<-pblapply(all.trump, paste,collapse=' ')
Next I create a vector of stopwords. Stopwords are commonly occurring words that do not add much value to a text mining analysis. Words like “the” and “she” are used so often they can become clutter to an analysis. It is a good idea to customize your stopwords by concatenating words appropriate to the channel. Here I added words like “America” and “Americans.” Then the
stop.wordsvector is passed to
stop.words<c(stopwords('SMART'),'united','states','ohio','new','york', 'pennsylvania','america','american','americans','people','country', 'trump')
I had to create
blank.removal to avoid an error with
LDAvis. When words are removed from the documents the
LDAvis package still counts them as words but without any characters. This throws an error when making the visual. The function works by splitting each word by a space, then using
subset to capture words with
nchar(x) >0. Finally,
collapse to put the entire text back together without the empty “words.”
lda package provides
lexicalize. This returns a list of unique terms which represent the entire vocabulary used among the 10 speeches. It also returns each individual speech’s use of a term from the vocabulary. Next, the
word.countsfunction creates an array of words and their total use. For example the word “began” was used 3 times while “great” was said 141 times. Lastly the
doc.length represents the total number of words in a speech.
wc <- word.counts(trump.lex$documents, trump.lex$vocab)
This section defines the hyperparameters for the LDA model.
K represents the number of topics to identify. It is a best practice to adjust this number so that the results can be meaningful. The
num.iter is the number of iterations the model should perform. The specific model I am creating samples the text so the larger the iterations the more reliable the outcome. Next
alpha represents the prior document-topic distributions and
eta is the parameter setting the prior topic-term distributions.
k <- 6
num.iter <- 25
alpha <- 0.02
eta <- 0.02
Here I create a
set.seed number for reproducibility. Using
lda.collapsed.gibbs.sampler I pass in the documents, number of topics, vocabulary, iterations, alpha and eta.
fit <- lda.collapsed.gibbs.sampler(documents = trump.lex$documents, K = k, vocab = trump.lex$vocab, num.iterations = num.iter, alpha = alpha, eta = eta)
You can review the prototypical words in each topic with the code below. In the screenshot you can see the first topic is about jobs, the second about Mexico, walls, the third about “gonna,” “rebuild” and “great” etc.
top.topic.words(fit$topics, 10, by.score=TRUE)
To create the interactive plot using
LDAvis, you need to estimate the document-topic distributions. This is done in the code snippet here to create the
theta object and referencing
alpha. You also need to estimate the topic term distributions,
theta <- t(pbapply(fit$document_sums + alpha, 2, function(x) x/sum(x)))
phi <- t(pbapply(t(fit$topics) + eta, 2, function(x) x/sum(x)))
speech.json <- createJSON(phi = phi,theta = theta,
doc.length = doc.length
vocab = trump.lex$vocab
term.frequency = as.vector(wc)
plot.opts = list(xlab ="Make Great & Jobs Back", ylab = "Hillary"))
Now you can simply call
serVis to open a browser with the topic models. You quickly create a github gist of the output by adding
as.gist = TRUE within the function call. You can also save all the underlying files to a folder by adding
out.dir = 'visual'. However your computer’s security settings may keep the file from opening up properly from a local file. Instead I prefer to use my immediate R call or gist.
Here is a screen shot of the visual or a link to my gist. When you navigate to the you can interact with the visual. As I reviewed the visual I saw how speeches along the Y axis showed decreasing mentions of Hillary. So the principal component analysis had some relationship to Trump’s Hillary mentions. No topics below the X axis mentioned her. Along the X axis the topics had a relationship to either “good” or “great” and bringing back jobs. As you explore the visual you can start to pick up on similar topic relationships and differnces. For example you can see how topic six is about Mexico, and a wall.
The interactive LDA visualization showing topics and word frequencies.
So far you have seen how to create the interactive visualization with Trump speeches. You can go back and adjust the hyper parameters or perform the same analysis using Clinton’s speeches. In the final installment of text mining on Trump and Clinton speeches, I will show you how to add another topic modeling visual using a treemap. Then we will create a pyramid plot comparing word usage between candidates.
Working at Liberty Mutual I shape the organization's strategy and vision concerning next generation vehicles. This includes today's advanced vehicle ADAS features and the self driving cars of the (near) future. I get to work with exciting startups, MIT labs, government officials, automotive leaders and various data scientists to understand how Liberty can thrive in this rapidly changing environment. Plus I get to internally incubate ideas and foster an entrepreneurial ethos! Specialties: Data Science, Text Mining, IT service management, Process improvement and project management, business analytics
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